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EMERGING MARKETS-Mexican, Colombian FX leads Latam losses as oil rally cools

Howard Olson by Howard Olson
February 16, 2021
in Markets
0

RELATED POST

Markets 101: Key Concepts Every Investor Should Know

Fed Chair Powell states smaller sized interest rate walks might begin in December

    * Citi books profit in South African rand 
    * Real, rand, Chilean peso most undervalued EM FX - Deutsche
    * Oil prices ease after rally

 (Adds details, updates prices)
    By Susan Mathew and Ambar Warrick
    Feb 16 (Reuters) - Mexican and Colombian currencies dropped
on Tuesday as a rally in crude markets appeared to have paused,
while most other emerging market currencies looked set to break
a seven-day advance as treasury yields and the dollar rose.
    The dollar moved marginally into positive territory and away
from three-week lows, while expectations of U.S. fiscal spending
pushed up treasury yields and further pressured emerging market
assets.  
    The Mexican and Colombian pesos dropped more
than 1% each as oil prices edged away from recent highs, hitting
currencies of crude exporting countries.
    Colombia's peso retreated from a near one-month high.
    MSCI's index of EM currencies lost 0.3%, and
was on course to end its longest rally since August. Erasing
session gains, South Africa's rand fell from one-year
highs, down 1%, while Turkey's lira slipped from a
six-month peak. 
    Markets in Brazil and Argentina were closed for holidays. 
    Citigroup Inc said it was booking a profit in its
three-month bet on the South African rand versus the U.S.
dollar. "There is a point at which the underlying very weak
growth trend and its fiscal implications could start impacting
the ZAR in a negative way," they said in a note.
    "Brazilian real, South African rand and the Chilean peso are
the three most undervalued EM currencies on an aggregate basis
... highlighting that markets have yet to price reflation across
EM commodity exporters," said Deutsche Bank strategists in a
note. 
    Meanwhile, losses in Chile's peso were limited as
prices of copper, its main export revenue generator, were
boosted by optimism about a global economic recovery. 
    Stocks in Latin America ticked slightly
higher on some vaccine optimism. Colombia will begin COVID-19
vaccinations on Wednesday, while Mexico on Monday began the task
of vaccinating millions of senior citizens.

    But concerns over a rocky vaccine rollout in the region,
coupled with stretched fiscal spending in major economies has
kept Latam assets behind their broader EM peers since the start
of the pandemic. 
        
    Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
    
                              Latest      Daily % change
 MSCI Emerging Markets         1440.24                 0.18
                                        
 MSCI LatAm                    2420.35                 0.18
                                        
 Mexico IPC                   44806.10                 1.47
                                        
 Chile IPSA                    4634.96                 0.32
                                        
 Colombia COLCAP               1364.42                -0.36 Currencies             Latest      Daily % change
 Mexico peso                   20.1630                -1.06
                                        
 Chile peso                      718.7                 0.06
                                        
 Colombia peso                  3527.5                -1.09
 Peru sol                       3.6518                -0.22
                                        
 
    

 (Reporting by Susan Mathew and Ambar Warrick in Bengaluru;
Editing by Jane Merriman and Grant McCool)
  
Tags: AmericasArgentinaBrazilCentral AmericaChileColombiaCompany NewsContent produced in BangaloreCurrencies / Foreign Exchange MarketsDebt / Fixed Income MarketsEMERGINGEmerging Market CountriesEquities MarketsMARKETS/LATAM (UPDATE 1)MexicoNorth AmericaPeruSouth AmericaSouth America / Central AmericaVenezuela

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